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NHL Project | We moderate expectations

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This column was supposed to be very positive in the beginning and would have sowed a lot of hope.

Posted at 13:11

Mattia Brunet

Mattia Brunet
The print

It started like this: with an overall first pick, a late pick in the first round, two picks in the second round (including the first of round), three picks in the third round, and three picks in the fourth round, the Canadian and his new l he administration could, with wise choices on Thursday and Friday, decisively guarantee the sustainability of the organization.

The Canadian had only one pick in the top 26, I said, but the number of picks in the first four rounds would allow him to advance if necessary, and also multiply his chances of success.

The Pittsburgh Penguins draft of 2005 with Sidney Crosby and Kris Letang, the Washington Capitals of 2004 with Alex Ovechkin and Mike Green, Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry, the brilliant choices of Ducks scouting director Alain Chainey in 2003, the splendor of the Boston Bruins in 2006 with Phil Kessel, Brad Marchand and Milan Lucic or the Dallas Stars with Miro Heiskanen, Jake Oettinger and Jason Robertson in 2017 were the precedents to mention.

But in the course of the research, one thing became more and more evident: these spectacular repechage, in the last twenty years, have been rather the exception.

And the cases of bankruptcy are much more numerous. Between 2007 and 2019, twelve times we saw an organization hold three choices in the first round. Of 27 of those first-round picks, only four became the best players, just two of them with their respective teams …

The Florida Panthers held three first-round picks and three second-round picks in 2010. Along with their pick, the Panthers picked number 3 Erik Gudbranson, a tough and durable but very limited defender. Despite a long career, Nick Bjugstad (19And) never became the desired center. He has never reached 50 points in a season. Quinton Howden (25)And) never broke through, as did the three round two picks, except perhaps Alex Petrovic briefly.

In 2017, the Golden Knights drafted three times in the first round, including two top 13 draft picks. They traded these three young players. Nick Suzuki and Erik Brannstrom allowed them to acquire two frontline players, Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty. Cody Glass sued Nolan Patrick.

Unearthing two protagonists of the same vintage is a feat, three stars an extremely rare case. The CH would have succeeded in 2007 if they hadn’t foolishly swapped Ryan McDonagh, enlisted at 12And degree, before Max Pacioretty (22And) and PK Subban (43And).

But we no longer see clubs that weed out four impactful players on the same day, like the Canadian with Patrick Roy, Stéphane Richer, Shayne Corson and Petr Svoboda in 1984 or 1987 with John Leclair, Andrew Cassels, Éric Desjardins and Mathieu Schneider.

Kent Hughes and his team will have been successful in their draft if they get their hands on two impactful players, namely forwards for the first two lines or a defender of the top three to be grafted onto Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, Alexander Romanov and Kaiden. Guhlé. They will exceed expectations with three.

But it will take another tough year, maybe two, to claim more, hoping for one of the top three picks for the 2023 harvest and another in the top ten picks in 2024. The Canadian already holds a second pick from the first round of the year. 2023 to Ben Chiarot’s trade with the Florida Panthers.

After all, the Colorado Avalanche took six years to reorganize Gabriel Landeskog (2011), Nathan MacKinnon (2013), Mikko Rantanen (2015) and Cale Makar (2017), and ten years to win their first Stanley Cup after picking Landeskog. second overall …

A bold prediction!

La Presse columnists were asked to provide a bold prediction on the eve of the NHL Draft. So here it is: the Canadian will field mighty winger Juraj Slafkovsky in the front row on Thursday night and also get a promising center by acquiring another top twelve pick, either Noah Östlund, Cutter Gauthier Marco Kasper or Jonathan Lekkerimäki (who can also play center) depending on everyone’s availability. This second choice will be obtained in exchange for the choices at the end of the first (26And) or at the beginning of the second (33And) round, or against Josh Anderson and one of the two choices mentioned above. Slafkovsky could start the season in Montreal, to the left of Nick Suzuki and Caufield, while we will be more patient with the center. Östlund and Lekkerimäki can stay another season in Sweden, Gauthier will play at Boston College in the NCAA, while Kasper can stay in Sweden or join Laval Rocket due to his European player status. Meanwhile, Christian Dvorak will fill the void at the second center despite commercial rumors.

Now here’s my colleagues’ one!

Do not lose

  1. If we rely on statistical analysis, Juraj Slafkovsky would not be the best choice for the Canadian, writes Alexandre Pratt.
  2. The NHL has become more and more open over the years. Women are taking up managerial positions and on Tuesday Mike Grier became the first black general manager in National League history, with the San Jose Sharks. Jean-François Téotonio joined for the occasion the first black professional coach in the world of hockey, Quebecer John Paris.
  3. Guillaume Lefrançois paints a portrait of the main perspectives of the QMJHL.

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