When participant probability estimates for the next 24 months are evaluated, when and at what time the CPI inflation data for August will be announced with an average probability of 36.05% of 22.00 – 25.9 %? With the end of August and the beginning of September, business circles wondered “How much is the inflation rate in August?” try to answer the question. Inflation forecasts have been announced. So when will the August rates be announced? The details are here …
WHEN WILL AUGUST INFLATION DATA BE AVAILABLE?
The inflation rate announced by TURKSTAT is announced on the 3rd day of each month. However, it can be postponed when it coincides with a public holiday or weekend.
As September 3 coincides with the weekend, August inflation data will be announced by the Turkish Statistical Office on September 5 at 10:00.
WHAT IS THE EXPECTATION OF AUGUST INFLATION?
According to the results of the August market participants survey, while the current year-end consumer inflation (CPI) forecast was 69.94% in the previous survey period, it became 70.60% over this period. of investigation.
While the participants’ current year-end consumer inflation (CPI) expectation was 69.94% in the previous survey period, it became 70.60% in this survey period. While the 12-month CPI expectation was 40.23% in the previous survey period, it became 41.99% in this survey period. The CPI expectation after 24 months was 24.27% and 24.35% respectively during the same survey periods.
EXPECTATIONS OF INFLATION AFTER 12 MONTHS
In the survey period of August 2022, when the participant probability estimates for the next 12 months are evaluated, it is seen that the CPI is between 30.00 – 36.99 percent with a probability of 24.72 percent and 44, 00 – 50.99 percent with a 28.16 percent increase in the probability range.
According to the evaluation carried out on the basis of point estimates during the same survey period, it was observed that the expectations of 26.47% of the participants were between 37.00 and 43.99% and the expectations of 29.41% they were between 44.00 – 50.99 percent.
EXPECTATIONS OF INFLATION AFTER 24 MONTHS
In the survey period of August 2022, an increase of more than 26.00 percent was projected with a probability of 27.63 percent, in the range 9.
According to the assessment made on the basis of point estimates in the same survey period, when evaluating CPI inflation expectations after 24 months, the expectations of 21.21 per cent of respondents are between 18.00 and 21.99 per percent, while expectations of 39.39 percent is 22.00-25 percent In the range of 0.99, expectations of 21.21 percent were observed to be higher than 26.00 percent.